The
impulse that take the presidential candidacies of Scioli and Massa sow
doubts among friends and strangers: can divide up the votes and losing
to a third candidate? Officials are already working to reunite them. The role of the pure Kirchner
There are fears in peronism lose in 2015
The political Argentina lives a new Paradox. While
the majority seem to be convinced that these wild lands can only be
ruled by peronism, the old foxes of the movement founded by Peron fear a
defeat for the first time in 15 years, since 1999, if Daniel Scioli and
Sergio Massa insist on apply - both - President.
One
in particular, the former Minister of the Interior Carlos Ph., takes
seriously the job alert here and there, makes permanent "called to
sanity" and proclaims: "Aren't assured of that opposition to the
peronism will not join, because that clearly assured us Raúl Alfonsín
and then they armed the Alliance that will be ended badly, but he
brought us out of the game".
It is not the only one. The
President of the Banco Provincia, Gustavo Marangoni, recognizes it peer
though - clear - he is convinced that fortune will continue spilling
Beatitudes on flammable Buenos Aires Governor and, thus, finally, reach
the armchair he who is preparing years ago. Jorge
Telerman, responsible for the Buenos Aires culture, was heard to say:
"the rational is that Massa is the Governor of the Scioli President, but
it is true that rarely happen in the Argentina rational things".
Fears of a Peronist defeat in 2015 are based on some clear realities. The
FpV fell heavily defeated in the legislative of last year in the five
main districts of the country, i.e., Buenos Aires, Santa Fe, Córdoba,
Mendoza and Federal Capital, representing almost 75 per cent of the
historical average of valid votes. In addition,
lost in Catamarca, Chubut, Corrientes, Santa Cruz, won by centimas in
Jujuy and La Rioja and there was a phenomenal breakthrough of the
opposition in almost all districts, except in Río Negro, San Juan and
Santiago del Estero.
The
reasoning of those who know is simple: even though it was a
legislative, social unrest seems to extend to the beat of the adjustment
of the Orthodox, hurting anyone who can count on the backing of the
Government, which forces the most competitive of the ruling to sup Yes
candidate or with Massa, who was already removed the kidney Kirchner.
To
lower expectations in who leads early polls - Massa is between 5 and 8
per cent above Scioli-is the crux that discussed in the tables of the
Peronists, strange people, who always wants to win, and no matter either
way and at what price, something in what definitely does not resemble
their radical cousins.
But Massa is not the only problem that the Peronists have. A
sector of kirchnerism is every day more convinced to go to elections
with a candidate's "own force", representing the K that would not
deliver the flags, but were forced to devalue. Namely
La Campora, new meeting of Martín Sabbatella, Luis D' Elía and other
jewels of the explicit kircherismo, which includes artists,
intellectuals, and several militants, gathered under the umbrella of a
conviction which can be summed up thus: "not arrived up to here to
finish voting for the only Governor who never stopped putting notices on
Clarín".
These K which in the last decade had many reasons to be optimistic, believe that that group can reach 20 percent of support. Wrote Horacio Verbitsky in Página/12. The
Peronists, even the Peronists-Kirchner Gabriel Mariotto or "chino"
Navarro, cannot avoid smiling is: 5% is a percentage that should feel
satisfied. Still, but a possible candidate
testimonial also hurts the candidacy of which exit elected Peronist in
the step, or, more probably, Scioli.
Obviously, peronism that did not with Massa, i.e. almost all peronism, sure that the blood will not reach the river. None can imagine away from carpets of power of which they are part (accomplices?) and that, at the same time, it subjects them. They expect melons fit while the truck moves, as Peron said.
Though something began to trouble them.
In
2015 the electoral calendar begins in March, with the elections for
Governor in Salta and Formosa, and they will happen throughout the year
across the country, independently to the presidential election. So far, the only district that has both unified elections is the province of Buenos Aires. In the Federal Capital were always separate, but Mauricio Macri ponders what it is good for you in this circumstance.
In this scenario of elections unfolded, to the
fuente:
